Europa League · Thursday, November 5 · 1:00 PM
Benfica vs Lech Poznan: our numbers
- Benfica are big favourites at 79%
- Goals expected: over 2.5 at 71%
Benfica3–1
Predicted score
xG 2.8–0.8
Lech PoznanBenfica 79%Draw 14%7% Lech Poznan
Our model blended with the sharpest sportsbook's odds, so late team news is already in.
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Most likely scores
- 2–011%
- 3–010%
- 2–18%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
- Over 2.5 goals71%
- Over 3.5 goals50%
- Both teams score53%
- Benfica clean sheet45%
- Lech Poznan clean sheet6%
Team news
Benfica- L. BarreiroInactive
- E. BarrenecheaInjury
- D. LukebakioDoubtful
Lech Poznan- A. DouglasAnkle
- A. GholizadehKnee
- M. IshakInactive
- W. MonkaInjury
- J. MoutinhoInactive
Also for this match
- Corners
Both teams and the total, every line, with the reasons
- Shots and on target
What we expect from each side, full game and each half
- Cards and fouls
With today's referee taken into account
- Player lines
To score, shots and shots on target for every starter
- Expected lineups
Who we expect to start, with a chance for every player
- Who moves the numbers
How each side changes with and without its key players
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We post how our numbers did after every match, misses included. See our track record
More match previews · 21+ · Statistical estimates, not betting advice · 1-800-GAMBLER